Statistics SA has released some shocking data regarding the South African building sector.In 2005 the building sector showed growth of 36.3%, this was at the industry’s peak. However, looking at data from January to December 2008 the real value of recorded building plans passed by larger municipalities had decreased by 17.2% when compared with 2007.
This is merely a continuation of the decreasing trend that has been recorded since the 2005 peak. It is also the worst recorded growth in over 20 years. The greatest affected was the residential sector but the negativity has also been bleeding through into the commercial sector.
Many homeowners are wondering when this is all going to come to an end, will the interest rate cuts that are expected help revive the market or will it be too little too late on top of all the other worldwide financial disasters.
Huge job losses are still expected in the year ahead and that means even less money will be spent by consumers to stimulate the economy and struggling retail sector.
This is certainly an indication of tough times ahead, the building sector may improve over the year but to what extent and will there be enough employed people to encourage growth. South Africa already had a major unemployment problem before the global financial crisis caused many companies to cut jobs in order to save on costs. Now with existing companies closing down and tougher lending criteria it is becoming increasingly difficult for start up businesses to get funding and create jobs.
What do you think, will the building sector improve in 2009 or will factors such as unemployment and tough lending criteria be too much to overcome this year?